Showing posts with label Ireland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ireland. Show all posts

Monday, May 27, 2013

Global Left is changing

successful experiments in Europe and Latin America are proof that the Left is not just alive, but has shun dogmas writes Saurabh Kumar Shahi 
In the slew of bad news coming out of European economies, readers can be forgiven if they missed a couple of good news. While relatively sound economies like Germany and Poland have started showing signs of slowdown, as the bad apples, Italy, Spain and Greece, show no signs of recovery; Ireland and Iceland have come up with alternative treatments that have stunned the world. Discarding the capitalistic and liberal economic measures, both the countries took some stringent measures and have bounced back. Ireland is expected to post a growth rate of 1.8 percent whereas Iceland is expected to grow at 2.4 percent.

So what is the remedy? Some stringent Leftist policies. Unlike the US and other economies where corporate giants and banks were bailed out when common people suffered from raised taxes and austerity measures, Iceland did exactly the opposite. It paid off loans for consumers and threw bankers in jail for corruption. Let homeowners wipe out debt up to 110 percent of the property value. It is not only declared loans indexed in foreign currency illegal and allowed middle-class debtors to pay back in its local currency, it went after the bankers responsible for the collapse and brought them to book. So, what appeared as a vicious cycle in other nations was effectively managed by the Icelanders.

Ireland too took some stringent steps. In contrast to the neighbouring Britain where an ‘export led recovery’ was grossly undermined by the chauvinistic view that people in developing countries were desperate to purchase British goods because of the so-called inherent prestige, the Irish held no such pretensions and instead adopted the basic comparative advantage road towards recovery. Who says Global Left is dead?

If European examples are unbelievable, the experiment in Latin America has shown miraculous results. The personal charisma of leaders like Hugo Chavez, Lula and Evo Morales, and their experiment with enlightened Socialism has borne results that are undeniable and incomparable. Even if you compare some basic indices in these countries to the pre-socialism days, the contrast is stark. And the best part of it all that it has been achieved without capitulating financially or politically to the First World. So what is it that has led to this revival?

First, unlike the Left in India, the Global Left has not been shy in reinventing itself and its message. There appears to be little appetite for dogma and every country has adopted the local ethos in the message of Socialism. So, for example, an ardent Communist in Latin America can be a regular Church-goer. The idea is neither to get stuck up with dogma neither  to let religion rule one's senses. As long as it is in the private sphere, it is ok. This has helped Left parties expand their base.

Even in France where the Socialist Party won the election, the leader Francois Hollande tried to achieve maximum maneuverability that can be achieved within the European Union system and managed to send the message to the masses that an alternative economic system is possible.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
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Monday, April 15, 2013

Is two-tier eurozone the answer?

The ongoing sovereign debt crisis has revealed major cracks in the foundation of the single currency area. France and Germany feel that one way to consolidate the eurozone and avoid future crisis is to move towards a new club of ‘core’ euro countries, and abandon the rest. But, is it really the solution?
Issue Date - 08/12/2011

The sovereign debt crisis has just claimed two of Europe’s most venerable leaders – George Papandreou, the third member of the Papandreou family to serve as the Greece’s Prime Minister, and Silvio Berlusconi, the famous Bunga Bunga organiser who dominated the Italian political scene for nearly two decades. The reason is simple. Markets have lost faith in policymakers’ ability to do what it takes to carry out serious structural reform, bring down debt, and stimulate growth in their respective countries.

. In fact, this lack of political ability to deal with the escalating debt crisis has not only increased the investors’ nervousness, but has also put a question mark on the future of the eurozone. The truth is that risks of the EU splintering have really mounted, to an extent that the German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the French President Nicolas Sarkozy have already acknowledged at the recent G20 summit (in Cannes) for the first time that they might abandon Greece to its fate, a devastating shift from leaders who had always insisted for the eurozone to remain intact at any price. There is more. Talks are doing the rounds that they are even contemplating a new club of core euro countries – abandoning the rest – that can live within the rules.

No doubt, European policymakers are certainly under tremendous pressure to bring growth back on track without compromising on austerity measures. But then, is it logical to support creation of a two-speed Europe and shun the development of the single currency area which supports heterogeneous nations?

A closer look at the numbers and one can easily understand the real problem. While yields on 10-year government bonds in the eurozone’s third largest economy, Italy, have officially crossed the breaking point of 7% (the highest in the eurozone history and above the level at which the fiscally troubled Greece, Ireland and Portugal were forced to seek bailouts), interest rates remain above 3.6%, 4.51% and 3.58% on French, Spanish and Austrian bonds respectively. This makes the situation really worrisome as credit rating agency Moody’s analysis suggests that borrowing costs even above 6% could endanger the sustainability of public finances. For instance, while in Greece, it took less than a month to seek an international bailout once the yield on 10-year government bonds passed the psychological 7% level, in Ireland, the yields moved from 7% to 9% in about four weeks before the country sought external help after its yields breached that level.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
 
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles
 
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