The elections this year is seeing a trend' parties vying for larger pie shun pre-poll alliances
This also made a Indo-US Nuclear Deal-bitten Left Front tie-up with disparate parties like BSP, TDP, TRS and JD(S) to form a Third Front, even as Lalu, Paswan and 'old foe' Mulayam Singh Yadav have joined hands to form a Fourth Front. NDA, on the other hand, is no better, with Biju Janata Dal walking out; its old ally Shiv Sena openly courting NCP and dominant partner in Bihar, JD(U), repeatedly ranting against BJP’s new Hindutva face – Varun Gandhi. So, is the era of coalition politics over?
Not really. In fact, the current political situation is somewhat similar to 1989 or 1996, when a number regional parties came together to fight against Congress and BJP. With both BJP and Congress failing to enhance their support base, regional satraps are sensing blood. “It''s going to be a bloodbath after the elections. Small parties, who are haggling with national parties over seat distribution, will demand their pound of flesh in the run up to formation of next government,” claims a BJP General Secretary. Congress leader Kapil Sibal, justifies the trend by describing it as burgeoning aspiration of regional parties. “They want to have a bigger role at the centre and the national parties want a bigger pie in the states. UPA was a conglomeration of secular parties. We hope to come together again after the elections,” he asserts.
BJP has its own set of calculations. Riding on a high profile campaign, it hopes to emerge as the single largest party. “Once the President invites the single largest party, regional chieftains would automatically rally behind it. We will once again provide stable government for the next five years”, claims Amitabh Sinha, National Convener of BJP’s election campaign for the current elections. But, won’t that be a re-enactment of 1998-like situation when Vajpayee had to wait for two days to get letter of support from Jayalalitha, the AIADMK Chief? All eyes therefore, will be on the incumbent President. Whether she invites the single largest party or the single largest political alliance, will be something to be watched keenly.
Not really. In fact, the current political situation is somewhat similar to 1989 or 1996, when a number regional parties came together to fight against Congress and BJP. With both BJP and Congress failing to enhance their support base, regional satraps are sensing blood. “It''s going to be a bloodbath after the elections. Small parties, who are haggling with national parties over seat distribution, will demand their pound of flesh in the run up to formation of next government,” claims a BJP General Secretary. Congress leader Kapil Sibal, justifies the trend by describing it as burgeoning aspiration of regional parties. “They want to have a bigger role at the centre and the national parties want a bigger pie in the states. UPA was a conglomeration of secular parties. We hope to come together again after the elections,” he asserts.
BJP has its own set of calculations. Riding on a high profile campaign, it hopes to emerge as the single largest party. “Once the President invites the single largest party, regional chieftains would automatically rally behind it. We will once again provide stable government for the next five years”, claims Amitabh Sinha, National Convener of BJP’s election campaign for the current elections. But, won’t that be a re-enactment of 1998-like situation when Vajpayee had to wait for two days to get letter of support from Jayalalitha, the AIADMK Chief? All eyes therefore, will be on the incumbent President. Whether she invites the single largest party or the single largest political alliance, will be something to be watched keenly.
Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
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